In 2013 China's LED industry growth expectations

2012 is the development of LED industry ups and downs of the year, despite the continuing turmoil in the international macroeconomic situation, the domestic industrial investment situation is still grim, but all sectors of China's LED industry still maintained a certain growth rate. First quarter of 2013, China's semiconductor lighting industry's overall growth conditions become one of the industry's most concern, according to surveys, LED high bay light industry, most of the firms are in the overall growth for 2013 is expected to still relatively optimistic, in which 37% respondents believe that in 2013 China's semiconductor lighting industry will maintain the increase in the 20% to 30%, and growth was essentially flat with 2012; 29% of the respondents believe that growth will slow down, that industrial production rate will remain at 10% to 20%; 16% of the respondents chose the growth rate of 30% to 50%; addition, Jin Yicheng respondents predicted growth rate of over 50%.

Reason for optimism is that, first, the policy environment has become the main driving force of industrial development stage. In recent years, the national policy to keep the application side tilt, coupled with the rapid growth of China's LED market, at present, China has become a huge potential semiconductor lighting applications and global markets of most concern. Demonstration and application projects favorable policies for the next step in boosting the application of LED products leading the direction and promotion, but also to the development of China's semiconductor lighting industry in the market and policy obtained under wheel drive sustained momentum. According to the National Semiconductor Lighting Project R & D and Industry Alliance (CSA) Statistics data show that in 2012 industrial scale reached 192 billion yuan, compared with 156 billion yuan in 2011 increased 23%, although growth has slowed, but the key technologies breakthrough, but also the relative growth in 2013 is expected to maintain the situation. Echoes with this expectation is that, for the second half of 2011 has been a downturn in the LED lighting market, the majority of respondents expressed optimism that accompanied the LED lighting technology progress and policy support and other positive factors, the emergence of market rebound great possibility.

Second, in recent years, China's LED lighting industry investment has been showing rapid growth, although in 2012 significantly changed the investment structure, investment accounted epitaxial silicon decreased, while the application investment has increased dramatically, and thus become the largest concentration of semiconductor lighting investment industry links, followed by investment package, but in this for the 2013 China's LED high bay light industry investment survey, there are still nearly half of the respondents believe that in 2013 China's LED lighting industry, there is a structural over-investment, 30% of respondents believe that there is a whole overheating, while only 16% of respondents believe that in 2013 the volume of investment and demand matching (Figure 2). Lot of money into the semiconductor lighting industry, pushing up the speed of development of the industry, while investment sparked concerns about overheating, but anyway, with the 2012 adjustment of investment structure, investment in China's semiconductor lighting industry will become increasingly rational, more prominent applications competitive advantages that are conducive to further enhance China's semiconductor lighting industry's overall competitiveness.

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